In 2024, air fares across Europe are significantly outpacing inflation, with prices around 15% higher, according to ING’s Global Aviation Outlook.
The report indicates that while passenger numbers are recovering to pre-pandemic levels, the industry faces challenges from aircraft supply constraints, leading to sustained high prices.
The latest research from ING highlights a crucial shift in the aviation market, where air fares are now significantly above inflation rates. The report identifies a rise of roughly 15% in ticket prices across Europe, suggesting that issues such as aircraft supply shortages are impacting pricing dynamics.
Despite these rising costs, consumer demand appears resilient. Travellers are generally accepting of higher ticket prices, though low-cost carriers report some decline in demand due to tax hikes.
Moreover, the situation is leading to limited expansion of intercontinental networks, with key players like Lufthansa and KLM reducing available seat capacity, further affecting pricing.
Airlines have started securing SAF supplies to meet long-term environmental goals. Despite its high cost, SAF plays a pivotal role in reducing carbon emissions and supporting the industry’s sustainability efforts.
Analysts remain optimistic, noting a slight improvement in operational margins. However, airlines need to navigate geopolitical tensions and labour issues that could further complicate their recovery efforts.
A strong first quarter in 2024 for revenue passenger kilometres highlights this positive trend. The ongoing demand surge underscores the resilience of the travel sector despite existing economic pressures.
Air fares in Europe remain approximately 15% above inflation, with several factors like aircraft constraints and higher taxes influencing this trend.
In conclusion, European airfare dynamics reveal a complex interplay between rising operational costs and consumer demand resilience.
Stakeholders must continue addressing capacity and sustainability challenges to ensure long-term viability for the aviation industry.